Paying a thousand bucks for a phone is no longer laughable. In fact, it's probably your new normal.
When Apple broke the $1,000 barrier for its iPhone X last September, critics scoffed at its exorbitant price. They doubted people would reach so deeply into their wallets for a phone that outpriced two other perfectly good iPhones, the iPhone 8 and iPhone 8 Plus. The critics were wrong. Apple CEO Tim Cook said in July that the iPhone X had outsold every other Apple device every week since it went on sale November 3, 2017.
With strong iPhone X sales, Apple proved that mainstream buyers are willing to pay almost as much for their cell phones as they would for a powerful laptop, if not more. And with rumors of an even pricier 2018 iPhone X Plus-style phone coming down the pike this September, Apple's moves to usher in the era of the $1,000 phone may just be getting underway.
In just two years, the cost of Samsung's Galaxy phone for US buyers spiked 15.1 percent from the Galaxy S7 in 2016 to this year's Galaxy S9, where the Huawei P series climbed 33 percent since 2016 -- and that doesn't even account for the existence of a "Pro" model. But the largest leap of all belongs to the OnePlus phones, whose price since 2016 soared 32.6 percent in the US and 42.6 percent in the UK. (See your region's chart below.)
The trend of increasingly costly handsets in the top tier underscores the cell phone's importance as an everything-device for communication, work, photography and entertainment. And as processing power, camera technology, battery life and internet data speeds improve generation after generation, the value people attach to a phone is sure to swell.
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"Consumers are prepared to pay a premium for a mobile phone because it is arguably the most important product in their lives," said Ben Wood, the chief research analyst at CCS Insight.
Rising prices aren't unusual on their own. Faster, better components like processors and cameras cost more to make. The financial load of researching and developing new materials also gets folded into the final product. And economic inflation affects the cost of goods outside of tech, too.
But economic inflation and R&D spend don't tell the entire story of why your phone is getting more expensive. By increasing the costs of their phones each iteration, Apple, Samsung and other leaders in the industry are creating an ultra high-end segment that can make each sale more profitable -- that's important as people start holding on to their phones longer, for three years or more.
Yep, your phone costs more every year
With few exceptions, phone prices from top brands are on the rise.
"Although overall smartphone shipments will decline slightly in 2018, the average selling price (ASP) of a smartphone will reach $345, up 10.3% from the $313 ASP in 2017," IDC analyst Anthony Scarsella said in IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker, shared with journalists in May. Prices will jump on the high end especially, Scarsella added.
The uptick is immediately noticeable when comparing phone prices from today with the same model released just two years ago.
Apple's prices have risen at a steady rate for both its iPhone and iPhone Plus lines, choosing to make the iPhone X, by far its most expensive phone ever, a luxury spinoff.
Samsung's Galaxy S, S Plus, and Note prices are swinging upward too, with the S9 Plus — an iPhone Plus and iPhone X rival — inching toward iPhone X prices.
US phone prices from 2016-2018
|2016 (starting price)||2017 (starting price)||2018 (starting price)||% change of highest price from 2016 to current model|
|Samsung Galaxy||Galaxy S7: $650-695||Galaxy S8: $720-$750||Galaxy S9: $720-$800||15.1%|
|Samsung Galaxy Plus||S7 Edge: $750-795||Galaxy S8 Plus: $785-$850||Galaxy S9 Plus: $840-$930||17%|
|Samsung Galaxy Note||Note 7: $834-880||Note 8: $930-960||TBA Aug. 9||9.1%|
|OnePlus||OnePlus 3: $399||OnePlus 5: $479||OnePlus 6: $529||32.6%|
|LG G series||LG G5: $576-689||LG G6: $600-720||LG G7: $750-790||14.7%|
|LG V series||LG V20: $672-829||LG V30: $800-912||LG V35: $900||8.6%|
|iPhone||iPhone 7: $649||iPhone 8: $699||Expected Sept||7.7%|
|iPhone Plus||iPhone 7 Plus: $769||iPhone 8 Plus: $799||Expected Sept||4%|
|iPhone X||N/A||$999||Expected Sept||N/A|
|Google Pixel||Pixel: $649||Pixel 2: $649||Expected Oct||0%|
|Google Pixel Plus||Pixel XL: $769||Pixel 2XL: $849||Expected Oct||10.4%|
We see the most shocking escalation from OnePlus, whose price jumps up each time a new model arrives. OnePlus is currently on track for two variations per year. For example, the OnePlus 6 debuted in June, and the OnePlus 6T could appear in November. Considering the brand's upward trajectory, we can expect the OnePlus 6T to include a few more features for a higher cost than the OnePlus 6.
According to a OnePlus spokesperson, "As reliance on smartphones has increased drastically over a short amount of time, the increase in quality and components across the industry required to meet high performance demands has also risen."
Over at LG, "Key factors include the cost of components, competitor pricing, carrier incentives, tariffs, etc.," Ken Hong, LG's senior director of global communications, said in an email. "Fact is, these input costs are rising so we're forced to follow suit," adding that adding more variants like the LG V35 has the positive effect of lowering the price of the previous model.
Interestingly, Google kept its prices steady with the second generation Pixel 2 and Pixel 2 XL. However, if the Pixel 3 we expect in October finally takes on the dual rear camera, all-screen, no bezel look that defines current smartphone design, Google could justify pulling up the price to match everyone else's.
Samsung, at least, is aware of its role in ballooning handset prices. In an earnings call this week, the brand promised to keep its forthcoming Note 9 "reasonably priced" when Samsung announces the phone on Aug. 9. 2017's Note 8 sold for around $950 in the US, £869 in the UK, and AU$I,499 in Australia.
But making phones is more expensive now, right?
Phones, like all electronics, are made of *hundreds/dozens* of parts, and if the cost of those parts goes up, it's a sure bet the cost of the phone will, too.
A demand for more storage in the past few years has triggered a the cost of memory to go up as suppliers invest in building more factories, according to Wood.
Adding more sophisticated cameras like the iPhone X's 3D depth sensing front-facing camera, or more lenses, like the Huawei P20 Pro's three rear shooters, costs more too. And so do materials like glass or ceramic for the phone's backing, or sturdy aerospace-grade aluminum for the frame.
You can bet that the first phone to debut a diamond glass screen or the new, smudge-resistant Vibrant Satin Corning Gorilla Glass won't be cheap. It's also expensive for companies like Samsung to build a whole new manufacturing process for elements like curved glass and flexible OLED displays.
Yet while the cost of all these components -- called the Bill of Materials, or BOM -- can partially explain why high end phones cost more each year, many experts believe that phonemakers are padding their profits.
"I certainly accept that some elements of the cost came from the components and the manufacturing process…but not to that order of magnitude," Wood said on a phone call in July. "I also believe that Apple made a strategic decision to increase the price of the flagship iPhone to maximize the returns on a really amazing portfolio."
Carolina Milanesi, an analyst with Creative Strategies, agrees.
"There is certainly more into these phones than ever before," she said in an email. "The BOM is certainly growing for these devices, but I do think that there is premium margin applied by the brands to their flagship products because they are status symbols."
Where's the price ceiling?
Apple's $1,000 iPhone X (technically $999 without tax), is clearly just the beginning.
"As long as the phones are our main go-to computing device throughout the day, buyers will be willing to spend more," Milanesi said.
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"There's going to be a huge immediate backlash on social media: 'What an outrage!' and quietly people will go off and buy it," Wood said.In setting the precedent for a $1,000 phone that people are proven to buy, Apple has established a new price point not just for itself but for the mobile industry as a whole.
In making Apple's most expensive phone ever, the company completely overhauled the phone's design, removing the iconic home button and being the first phone to use 3D depth-sensing technology to unlock the phone, with no fingerprint backup.
This design allowed Apple to give the iPhone X a larger screen than the iPhone 8 Plus on a body that's almost as small as the iPhone 8. Finally, Apple enforced the iPhone X's "premium" look and feel by giving this device exclusive features, like 3D animated emojis, called Animoji, which the other two iPhones don't have.
Now, as we head into iPhone season this fall, Apple has a chance to iterate on a new line of iPhone X phones that resets the iPhone's tippy-toe point.
"There is great scope to have [an iPhone] X Plus. Why wouldn't that be $1,200?," Wood said, adding that people would snap up an even more expensive iPhone X.
"There's going to be a huge immediate backlash on social media: 'What an outrage!' and quietly people will go off and buy it," Wood said.
With today's iPhone X nudging prices skyward, Samsung, Huawei, OnePlus and others have a reason to follow suit: tracking Apple. For example, even if the OnePlus 6 costs roughly 30 percent more than the same model did two years ago, you'll still only spend about half as much for it as you would for an iPhone X, a relative value that many find easy enough to swallow for a "cheaper" phone with high-end parts.
"When Apple announced the iPhone X for a thousand bucks...they did the whole industry a favor," Wood said. "That gave all the other manufacturers some breathing space and I can imagine there was a certain delight in the corridors of Samsung and Huawei and others."
In other words, while Apple might pocket the most profit, its audacious iPhone X price tag helps competitors make more money per phone, too.
Don't worry, midrange phones are still affordable
High prices on top-tier phones may not mean that the cost of every phone will rise.
We continue to see fierce competition in the middle and low end where phones like the Motorola Moto G6 and E5 families turn out excellent budget handsets for just about the same price each year: $250 in the case of the Moto G6.
Huawei's Honor brand also notably produces midprice, midtier devices that strike a balance between value and cost, often while hewing to popular designs and features like slim bezels and dual, portrait-mode cameras that people crave. Xiaomi, Nokia, Oppo, Asus and other brands also help fill the gap worldwide by quietly cranking out basic, affordable phones for cost-sensitive buyers.
So while the shiniest, most powerful devices are still locked on a path to their highest prices yet, there's still a strong demand for midrange and entry-level phones aimed at people with tighter budgets or more basic needs.
If a $1,000 phone sounds too outrageous, you may need to find beauty in a humbler phone, or get over the sticker shock and accept that the days of a $500 flagship phone are long behind us.
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